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Site Vulnerability Analysis and Counter-Terrorism

In an environment of growing concern about the prospect of acts of terrorism on American soil, multiple industries are establishing measures for assessing and managing site security risk. Some of these industries are already subject to security-related regulation in response to the Public Health Security and Bioterrorism Preparedness and Response Act of 2002 (Public Law 107-188), requiring them to conduct systematic vulnerability assessments and implement risk-reduction and preparedness measures as appropriate. Additional laws are under consideration currently by congress, such as Senate Bill S157, the Chemical Security Act of 2003.

Among the requirements of these current and prospective laws is the performance of site vulnerability studies to assess the risks associated with the potential for acts of terrorism. For industries handling highly hazardous chemicals, the principal risks of concern are associated with the potential for acts that could result in a major release of toxic, flammable or explosive materials from the site, or with the potential for the theft of materials that could be used in the fabrication of weapons.

Various methodologies for systematic vulnerability analysis have been developed by industry groups and government agencies. These include

a suite of risk assessment methodologies (the RAM methodologies) developed by Sandia National Laboratories, sponsored by various government agencies, including the EPA

guidelines for analyzing and managing the security vulnerabilities of fixed chemical facilities, sponsored by the AIChE Center for Chemical Process Safety, and

a guide to site security, developed by the American Chemistry Council

among others.

The analysis of chemical security, like chemical safety, is based on systematic evaluation of vulnerabilities at the site, and subsequent identification of reliable administrative and engineered means of risk control. A vulnerability evaluation in the context of security risk typically involves several steps:

Identify and rank vital facility areas

Assess vulnerability of credible threat targets

Perform analysis of protection features

Estimate potential consequence severities of acts that compromise these protections

Qualitatively estimate the likelihood of such scenarios

Characterize the risk associated with each hypothetical scenario

Identify and analyze risk-reduction options

Select prevention/preparedness options and validate

Often, advantage may be taken of certain safety/risk studies already in place for a chemical process. For example, a process hazard analysis (PHA) can facilitate an understanding of the type of release that could result from various hypothetical process boundary failures (release rate, chemical composition, chemical phase, release duration, potential to mitigate, etc.) and of the causal events that could initiate such boundary failures.

Similarly, consequence analyses, such as those supporting EPA RMP submissions, may provide an indication of the potential degree of impact of a release, and of appropriate means of emergency response. This type of information, as part of an integrated security assessment, can provide a strong basis for pinpointing the principal site vulnerabilities, and assessing the efficacy of various risk-reduction options.

The Unwin Company team represents substantial experience in the conduct of risk-based vulnerability and security studies, including application to drinking water systems, dams, and nuclear facilities.